Per-match analysis
#1
AFC Wimbledon vs
Blackpool FC
AFC Wimbledon host Blackpool in what promises to be a tightly contested League One encounter. Blackpool, historically the stronger outfit at this level, tend to carry a greater attacking threat and can impose themselves on sides operating in the lower reaches of the division. The away pick here reflects the expectation that Blackpool's squad depth and tactical organisation could prove difficult for Wimbledon to contain over ninety minutes, particularly if the hosts struggle to find rhythm in transition. League One away sides with genuine quality often punish home teams who sit too deep. At just 37% confidence, however, this selection carries meaningful risk and should be treated as a speculative contribution within any accumulator rather than a standalone banker.
#2
Wigan Athletic vs
Barnsley FC
Wigan Athletic host Barnsley in a League One fixture where home advantage carries genuine weight at this level - crowds are partisan and teams often set up more boldly on familiar turf. Picking the home win here is defensible given that Wigan tend to be difficult to break down at the DW Stadium, and Barnsley, whilst capable of threatening on the counter, have shown inconsistency away from home that is fairly typical of mid-table League One sides. The 41% confidence reflects a genuinely tight contest where neither side holds a commanding edge. Risk caveat: League One fixtures at this tier are notoriously volatile, and a draw or away victory remains entirely plausible.
#3
Bristol Rovers vs
Chesterfield FC
Bristol Rovers have struggled for consistency at the Memorial Stadium this season, and Chesterfield arrive as a side capable of grinding out results on the road when organised defensively. League Two fixtures at this level often hinge on set-pieces and transitions rather than sustained possession play, which can suit a disciplined visiting outfit. Backing the away side at 40% confidence reflects a genuine tactical case rather than outright certainty - Chesterfield's compact shape may frustrate Rovers and nick something on the counter. The pick acknowledges that home advantage remains meaningful in this division and that fine margins could easily swing the result either way.
#4
Shrewsbury Town vs
Oldham Athletic
Shrewsbury Town host Oldham Athletic in a League Two fixture where home advantage carries real weight at this level - lower-league sides frequently draw heavily on crowd support and familiarity with their own pitch to grind out results. Shrewsbury's setup tends to be organised and hard to break down at home, making them a reasonable favourite even if the margin for error is slim. That said, League Two is notoriously unpredictable, with away sides capable of nicking points through set-pieces or moments of individual quality regardless of form. The 36% confidence rating reflects just how fine the margins are. A draw or away win remains entirely plausible, so stake accordingly and avoid overexposure on this selection.
#5
Hornchurch FC vs
Tamworth FC
Hornchurch host Tamworth in what promises to be a tight, physical contest typical of the National League's lower reaches, where home advantage carries genuine weight on compact, tight grounds. Backing the home side feels defensible here - lower-league home teams frequently frustrate more fancied visitors through organised defensive shape and crowd intensity, and Hornchurch will be eager to exploit any vulnerabilities on their own patch. Tamworth, as the travelling side, face the usual challenges of adapting to unfamiliar conditions in a division where away form is notoriously difficult to sustain. The 38% confidence rating honestly reflects how evenly matched these sides appear on paper, and punters should be aware that at this level unpredictability is the norm rather than the exception.
#6
Kidderminster Harriers FC vs
FC Halifax Town
Kidderminster Harriers host Halifax Town in what promises to be a closely contested National League affair. Playing at home gives Kidderminster a marginal psychological edge - home advantage in this division tends to carry genuine weight, particularly for sides looking to impose a physical, direct style on visiting teams unaccustomed to the surface and atmosphere. Halifax are no pushovers, however, and travelling sides in the National League frequently frustrate home favourites through disciplined defensive organisation and quick transitions. The pick for a Kidderminster win reflects that home advantage rather than any commanding superiority, making it a speculative lean rather than a confident call. At just 37% confidence, this selection sits firmly in longshot territory, so staking beyond a small unit would be difficult to justify.
#7
East Fife FC vs
Peterhead FC
East Fife host Peterhead in what looks a tightly contested League 1 fixture, with home advantage forming the backbone of this selection. At this level of Scottish football, home sides often carry a meaningful edge through crowd familiarity and pitch knowledge, particularly at compact grounds where visiting teams can struggle to impose themselves. Picking East Fife here reflects less a conviction about their quality in isolation and more a recognition that League 1 home results tend to follow predictable patterns when neither side is dramatically out of form. The 36% confidence rating honestly reflects how evenly matched these sides appear on paper, making this a marginal rather than emphatic call. At such low confidence, a draw or away win remains a genuinely plausible outcome, and staking heavily on this selection would be unwise.
#8
Real Sociedad San Sebastian B vs
Sporting Gijon
Real Sociedad B enter this fixture with the natural advantage of home surroundings, and their academy-driven style typically produces energetic, technically disciplined football that can trouble mid-table Segunda División sides. Sporting Gijón, a club with top-flight pedigree but inconsistent form at this level, have historically struggled to impose themselves away from El Molinón against lively lower-ranked opponents. The home pick at 1 carries modest confidence precisely because B-sides can be unpredictable in their performances week to week, yet the territorial advantage and playing style make backing Real Sociedad B at home a defensible, if cautious, selection within a jackpot accumulator. Bettors should remain mindful that reserve sides frequently produce volatile results, making this one of the more speculative legs in the combination.
#9
Georgia vs
Hungary
Georgia and Hungary meet in what promises to be a cagey Nations League affair, with both sides capable of frustrating more fancied opposition. Hungary tend to be well-organised and direct, and playing away from home they may adopt a pragmatic shape that invites Georgia to commit forward - which could leave the hosts exposed on the counter. That dynamic makes a Hungarian victory on the road a plausible outcome, particularly if Georgia struggle to break down a disciplined defensive block, as mid-tier Nations League sides frequently do in home fixtures where expectation weighs heavily. The 40% confidence rating reflects genuine uncertainty, and bettors should treat this selection as one component of a wider accumulator rather than a standalone wager.
#10
Criciuma EC SC vs
Gremio Novorizontino SP
Gremio Novorizontino have established themselves as a disciplined, well-organised side capable of picking up points on the road, and backing them here carries a certain tactical logic. Criciuma, playing at home, will look to control territory, but the Brasileiro Série B is a notoriously competitive division where away sides frequently frustrate hosts who lack clinical edge in front of goal. Novorizontino's compact defensive shape tends to limit the space opponents need to hurt them, making a narrow away victory a plausible outcome rather than a speculative one. The 37% confidence rating reflects genuine uncertainty, however, and home advantage in this division should never be dismissed lightly.
#11
Real Oviedo vs
Girona FC
Real Oviedo host Girona FC in what promises to be a tightly contested second-tier encounter. Backing the home side reflects the genuine advantage that compact, well-organised lower-league clubs tend to enjoy on their own patch, where crowd support and familiarity with the pitch can offset quality gaps. Oviedo's style typically suits defensive solidity and quick transitions, which can frustrate technically superior visiting sides who struggle to break down disciplined low blocks. Girona, despite their quality, must adapt to the demands of away fixtures in a physically demanding league where momentum shifts quickly. The 38% confidence rating honestly reflects this being a marginal call rather than a banker - possession-heavy visitors frequently find ways to control these fixtures, so staking heavily on this selection carries meaningful risk.
#12
Club Comunicaciones vs
Arsenal de Sarandi
Club Comunicaciones host Arsenal de Sarandí in a fixture that carries genuine unpredictability, as both clubs operate in the competitive middle tier of Argentine football where home advantage often proves decisive. Comunicaciones will look to exploit their familiar surroundings and the intensity a home crowd provides, pressing aggressively and making life difficult for a visiting side that must travel and adapt. The 1 pick acknowledges that home teams in Primera B tend to claim points at a reasonable rate, particularly against opponents who can struggle for consistency on the road. The modest confidence rating of 36% reflects how evenly matched these sides appear on current form. As ever with Argentine second-tier football, results can shift dramatically on individual moments of quality or disciplinary incidents, so staking should remain cautious.
#13
CD Armenio vs CS Italiano
CS Italiano enter this fixture as the marginally preferred side, though at 34% confidence this remains a genuinely open contest. Primera B matches at this level are frequently tight, low-scoring affairs where home advantage carries real weight, making an away victory far from straightforward. Italiano's pick rests on the assumption that their attacking organisation can trouble an Armenio side who, like many clubs in this division, can be vulnerable when pressed high. The tactical balance here likely hinges on midfield control and set-piece threat rather than any pronounced quality gap between the two squads. This is a speculative lean rather than a conviction call, and bettors should treat it accordingly given that margins in Argentine lower-division football are notoriously slim.
#14
Amarante FC vs
FC Felgueiras 1932
Amarante FC carry home advantage into this second-tier Portuguese clash, which in Liga Portugal 2 can be a meaningful factor given the often tight, low-scoring nature of fixtures at this level. As the home side, Amarante will look to impose a compact, organised shape and exploit any defensive vulnerabilities Felgueiras bring on the road. The 38% confidence rating reflects genuine uncertainty - both clubs occupy the lower-to-mid tier of Portuguese football's second division, where margins are slim and upsets are commonplace. The home pick is defensible largely on positional logic and the slight psychological edge of familiar surroundings rather than a pronounced quality gap. This is a speculative selection in a notoriously unpredictable division, and staking heavily would be inadvisable.
#15
FK Ufa vs
Spartak Kostroma
FK Ufa enter this contest as the more established side, having competed at higher levels of Russian football in recent memory, and their structural organisation tends to give them an edge in lower-division settings where opponents struggle to impose a clear style. As a home fixture, Ufa should benefit from familiar conditions and crowd backing, which matters considerably in the 1. Liga where margins are tight. Spartak Kostroma have shown inconsistency typical of mid-table sides at this level, making them vulnerable against a disciplined hosts. The home pick at these conditions is therefore defensible, albeit modest rather than emphatic. That said, with confidence sitting at just 40%, this selection carries genuine uncertainty and should be staked accordingly within your overall bankroll strategy.
#16
Portimonense SAD vs
Academica de Coimbra
Portimonense SAD carry the weight of expectation as a side targeting promotion from Liga Portugal 2, and playing at home ought to suit their more organised, possession-minded approach. Academica de Coimbra have shown the capacity to frustrate stronger opponents on their travels, which is precisely why confidence here sits at a modest 41% rather than anything bolder. The home advantage is the principal argument for backing a Portimonense win - teams with top-flight pedigree in this division tend to assert themselves in front of their own supporters, particularly against mid-table visitors. The pick is defensible rather than compelling. Away sides in this league regularly nick points against expectation, so a draw or narrow Academica win remains a very live possibility.
#17
FC Penafiel vs
Lusitania FC Lourosa
FC Penafiel carry home advantage in a division where playing on familiar ground genuinely matters, and as an established Liga Portugal 2 side they tend to impose enough structure to trouble visiting teams with less top-flight pedigree. Lusitania FC Lourosa, operating at this level, often find it difficult to build momentum away from home, making a Penafiel win a reasonable baseline expectation. The 40% confidence rating reflects the unpredictability inherent in Portuguese second-tier football, where tactical discipline and squad depth vary considerably week to week. Neither side is nailed-on, but the home advantage logic holds up as a defensible anchor for this selection. This match carries meaningful upset potential, so stake only what you can comfortably afford to lose.
The SportPesa Tanzania Supa Jackpot sits at the heavier end of the local jackpot market, built for players who treat multi-match prediction as a discipline rather than a casual add-on. Where shorter slips reward broad appeal, the Supa Jackpot draws a more committed segment of the Tanzanian betting public, particularly mobile-first players who follow European leagues closely enough to have informed opinions across a full card of fixtures. Relative to lighter jackpot formats available in the market, it demands more selections, which concentrates the field and shapes the kind of analysis worth applying to it.
The predictions on this page are derived from SportPesa Tanzania's own published 1X2 odds, with the bookmaker margin removed through overround normalisation so that the implied probabilities reflect relative likelihood rather than commercial pricing, supplemented by recent team form data. Normalised probability is an analytical tool, not a forecast guarantee, and no model eliminates the variance inherent in football. This content is intended for adults aged 18 and over, in line with Tanzania's legal betting age as regulated by the Gaming Board of Tanzania (GBT). Bet within your means.
How the SportPesa Tanzania Supa Jackpot works
The SportPesa Tanzania Supa Jackpot is built around a single slip of 17 pre-selected football fixtures. For each match, the player predicts one of three outcomes: home win, draw, or away win. A perfect card, meaning all 17 predictions correct, wins the headline jackpot pool in full. No partial share of the top prize is paid out if multiple players submit identical correct slips; the pool is divided equally among them.
Below the top tier, SportPesa Tanzania operates a consolation ladder for near-miss slips. Getting 16 correct returns a smaller defined tier prize, 15 correct drops to a lower tier still, and the structure continues down to a minimum qualifying threshold. Each tier draws from a separate, smaller pool rather than the main jackpot fund, so the payouts at each level are proportionally reduced.
When no player submits a perfect 17-from-17 card in a given round, the headline pool rolls over and accumulates into the following round. Repeated rollovers grow the fund progressively, which is why the headline figure can vary substantially from one round to the next without any change to the underlying entry mechanics.
Previous weeks
Week of 07.11.2026
| # |
Date |
Match |
League |
Pick |
Odds |
Win probability |
Result |
| 1 |
07.11 20:45 |
Aberdeen FC vs Hibernian FC |
Premiership (Scotland) |
1 |
2.55 |
39%
|
- |
| 2 |
07.11 22:00 |
Pau FC vs FC Nantes |
Ligue 2 (France) |
2 |
2.46 |
41%
|
- |
| 3 |
07.11 22:30 |
Grasshopper Club Zurich vs Lausanne-Sport |
Super League (Switzerland) |
1 |
2.54 |
39%
|
- |
| 4 |
07.11 22:45 |
RAAL La Louviere vs Cercle Brugge |
Pro League (Belgium) |
2 |
2.70 |
37%
|
- |
| 5 |
08.11 16:00 |
IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF |
Allsvenskan (Sweden) |
1 |
2.53 |
40%
|
- |
| 6 |
08.11 16:30 |
WSG Tirol vs FK Austria Wien |
Bundesliga (Austria) |
1 |
2.72 |
37%
|
- |
| 7 |
08.11 16:30 |
TSV Hartberg vs SCR Altach |
Bundesliga (Austria) |
1 |
2.60 |
38%
|
- |
| 8 |
08.11 17:00 |
NK Brinje Grosuplje vs Aluminij Kidricevo |
PrvaLiga (Slovenia) |
1 |
2.60 |
38%
|
- |
| 9 |
08.11 17:00 |
Virtus Entella vs Modena FC |
Serie B (Italy) |
2 |
2.60 |
39%
|
- |
| 10 |
08.11 18:30 |
IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF |
Allsvenskan (Sweden) |
1 |
2.69 |
37%
|
- |
| 11 |
08.11 19:15 |
Le Havre AC vs FC Lorient |
Ligue 1 (France) |
2 |
2.68 |
37%
|
- |
| 12 |
08.11 19:15 |
Carrarese Calcio vs Sampdoria Genoa |
Serie B (Italy) |
1 |
2.62 |
38%
|
- |
| 13 |
08.11 19:15 |
Stade Brest 29 vs Olympique Lyon |
Ligue 1 (France) |
2 |
2.53 |
40%
|
- |
| 14 |
08.11 19:30 |
Manchester United vs Aston Villa |
Premier League (England) |
1 |
2.37 |
42%
|
- |
| 15 |
08.11 20:00 |
FC Viktoria Plzen vs Sparta Prague |
1. Liga (Czechia) |
1 |
2.66 |
38%
|
- |
| 16 |
08.11 21:15 |
Fredrikstad FK vs SK Brann |
Eliteserien (Norway) |
2 |
2.52 |
40%
|
- |
| 17 |
08.11 21:30 |
L.R. Vicenza vs US Cremonese |
Serie B (Italy) |
2 |
2.66 |
38%
|
- |
Win probability is our model's estimate the selected outcome wins. Baseline for 1X2 is 33% - anything above 55% is a strong pick.
FAQ
Is the SportPesa Tanzania Supa Jackpot legal?
Yes. SportPesa Tanzania operates under a licence issued by the Gaming Board of Tanzania (GBT), the country's statutory regulator. The Supa Jackpot is a GBT-sanctioned product, so participation by adults aged 18 and over is fully legal within Tanzania.
How do I withdraw a Supa Jackpot win in Tanzania?
Winnings are paid directly to a registered mobile money account. SportPesa Tanzania supports M-Pesa, Airtel Money, and Tigo Pesa. The account name must match your SportPesa registration details, and standard GBT-compliant verification checks apply before large sums are released.
What happens if a Supa Jackpot match is postponed or voided?
SportPesa Tanzania applies a standard rule when a fixture is postponed or declared void: the selection is typically settled as a home win, draw, or according to the operator's published void-match policy. Always check the current rules on the official site before submitting your entry.
Is cash-out available on the SportPesa Supa Jackpot?
Cash-out is generally not available on jackpot pool products like the Supa Jackpot. Unlike standard accumulators, jackpot entries are settled collectively after all listed fixtures conclude. Once submitted, a Supa Jackpot slip cannot be cashed out mid-round.
What is the minimum stake for the Supa Jackpot?
SportPesa Tanzania sets a minimum entry stake for each Supa Jackpot round. The operator publishes the current figure on the slip page at the time of entry, and it is denominated in TZS. Check the live entry screen for the precise amount before confirming your selections.
Do I need to complete identity verification to play the Supa Jackpot?
Tanzania does not use a BVN system, but GBT regulations require SportPesa to conduct Know Your Customer checks. This typically involves verifying your national ID or NIDA number and matching it to your registered mobile money details, particularly when processing significant withdrawals.
Can I see past SportPesa Tanzania Supa Jackpot winners?
SportPesa Tanzania periodically publishes historical jackpot results and winner information on its official platform and through press releases. The results archive on the site is the most reliable reference for past winning combinations and confirmed prize distributions by round.
How reliable are Supa Jackpot predictions from tipster sites?
No prediction source, regardless of methodology, can guarantee correct outcomes across all Supa Jackpot selections. Statistical models and form analysis can inform your thinking, but football retains enough variance that even well-researched picks carry significant uncertainty. Stake only what fits within your planned budget.