Per-match analysis
#1
Sunderland AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion
Sunderland face a Brighton side renowned for their structured, possession-based approach under disciplined tactical coaching. Playing away from home, Brighton's organised defensive shape and quality on the ball should give them a platform to control large portions of this match, which historically suits sides with clear tactical identity in the Premier League. A newly promoted or lower-table home side often struggles to impose themselves against such methodical opponents, making the away win a reasonable proposition. The 40% confidence reflects genuine uncertainty — home crowds can lift sides considerably, and Brighton's away form is not always as convincing as their performances at the Amex. Back this pick cautiously, as a draw remains a very live outcome.
#2
Ipswich Town vs Fulham FC
Fulham arrive at Portman Road as the likelier source of quality in what promises to be a tight, pragmatic affair. Ipswich, freshly promoted and still finding their feet at this level, have shown admirable organisation but can be exposed by sides who press with purpose and move the ball quickly through midfield — areas where Fulham carry genuine Premier League pedigree. Marco Silva's side tend to be solid rather than spectacular away from home, which suits a low-risk selection on the visiting side rather than chasing a home upset. A draw remains entirely plausible, and that lingering possibility is precisely why this pick carries only modest confidence.
#3
Aston Villa vs Brentford FC
Brentford have shown themselves to be a resilient, well-drilled side capable of grinding out results against teams who expect to control possession. Facing Aston Villa at Villa Park, they will likely sit compact and look to exploit transitions, a pattern that has served them well against mid-to-upper Premier League opposition. Villa, despite the quality in their squad, can be inconsistent when the pressure of expectation weighs on home performances, and Brentford's directness makes them a genuine threat to steal something from this fixture. At 38% confidence, this pick reflects genuine uncertainty rather than conviction. A draw remains entirely plausible, and backing the away side here carries meaningful risk.
#4
FC Lorient vs Paris FC
Paris FC travel to Lorient carrying the weight of expectation that comes with competing at the upper end of Ligue 1, and on paper their squad depth and attacking organisation should trouble a Lorient side that has historically found life difficult at home against well-structured visiting outfits. The tactical picture favours Paris FC if they can maintain defensive compactness and exploit transitions, which suits their typical approach. That said, Lorient can be genuinely dangerous in front of their own supporters, making this far from a straightforward away win. A confidence rating of 42% reflects that reality honestly — this pick is defensible rather than emphatic, and form swings in Ligue 1 can quickly punish even measured selections.
#5
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace face Nottingham Forest in what promises to be a tightly contested Premier League affair, with both sides capable of grinding out results through defensive organisation rather than free-flowing football. Palace at Selhurst Park carry a degree of home advantage that makes backing them understandable, as top-flight home sides in England historically convert territorial pressure into narrow wins often enough to justify the selection. Forest, however, are no pushovers away from home and have shown the discipline to frustrate more technically gifted opponents. A Crystal Palace victory is a reasonable inclusion in any accumulator at these confidence levels, though the slim margin reflects genuine uncertainty. This selection carries meaningful risk, and punters should treat it accordingly rather than anchoring their stake around it.
#6
OGC Nice vs Strasbourg Alsace
OGC Nice host Strasbourg Alsace in what promises to be a tightly contested Ligue 1 fixture. Nice's home advantage is the primary driver behind the home win selection — teams playing at the Allianz Riviera generally enjoy a meaningful territorial and psychological edge, and Nice tend to be well-organised defensively in front of their own supporters. Strasbourg, meanwhile, have historically shown vulnerability on the road, often struggling to impose themselves against sides with disciplined defensive structures. The moderate confidence rating of 42% reflects the genuine competitiveness of both squads and acknowledges that Ligue 1 regularly throws up unpredictable results, particularly in mid-table encounters where motivation and form can shift sharply week to week. This pick carries notable risk, and staking heavily on a sub-50% confidence selection would be ill-advised.
#7
FK Teplice vs SK Sigma Olomouc
FK Teplice host SK Sigma Olomouc in what promises to be a tightly contested mid-table affair typical of the Czech 1. Liga, where home advantage carries genuine weight and teams rarely concede games cheaply. Teplice tend to be compact and well-organised on their own ground, making life difficult for visiting sides who prefer to build through midfield — a style Olomouc often favour. The home pick is defensible precisely because of that territorial familiarity, with crowd support and shorter travel potentially tipping a narrow contest in Teplice's favour. At 36% confidence, however, this is squarely a low-conviction selection, and a draw or away win remains entirely plausible given how closely matched these sides can be.
#8
Gaziantep FK vs Corum FK
Gaziantep FK enter this fixture as home side in what promises to be a tightly contested Super Lig encounter. Playing on home soil offers a meaningful psychological and logistical edge in Turkish football, where crowd support can genuinely influence tempo and referee decisions. Gaziantep have enough quality in their squad to control possession in front of their own supporters, and Corum FK, as a side fighting to establish themselves at this level, often struggle to impose their style away from home. The 1 pick is defensible rather than compelling — home advantage is the primary driver here, not dominant form. At just 36% confidence, this selection sits firmly in speculative territory, and backing it as a banker would be ill-advised.
#9
US Catanzaro vs Mantova 1911
Catanzaro host Mantova in what promises to be a tightly contested Serie B fixture, with the home side carrying the natural advantage of familiar surroundings and crowd support. Playing in front of their own supporters tends to matter in the Italian second tier, where compact defensive structures and transitional play often define outcomes. Catanzaro have generally shown the resilience and organisation you expect from a mid-table Serie B outfit at home, making a home win a reasonable, if cautious, selection. Mantova are capable of frustrating opponents on their travels, however, and the modest 40% confidence rating honestly reflects how evenly matched these two sides appear on paper. Back the home win carefully, as a draw or away point remains a very real possibility given the unpredictable nature of this division.
#10
Rio Ave FC vs Nacional da Madeira
Rio Ave enter this fixture as the more established top-flight side, benefiting from home advantage at Estádio dos Arcos, where they tend to organise effectively and press with greater intensity than visiting sides from the archipelago. Nacional have historically found road trips to the mainland demanding, often sitting deep and absorbing pressure but lacking the cutting edge to punish opponents on the counter. The home win is a defensible selection given Rio Ave's structural solidity and the tendency of mid-table Liga Portugal fixtures to favour the home side when neither team is in crisis form. That said, at 42% confidence, this is a marginal call and backing it with significant stakes would be unwise.
#11
FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893
FC Basel travel to Vaduz as the historically dominant force in Swiss football, and their pedigree at this level makes them the logical selection despite only modest confidence. Basel typically impose a possession-based structure that suffocates smaller sides, and Vaduz, operating closer to the lower half of the Super League, often struggle to sustain defensive discipline over ninety minutes against technically superior opponents. The away side's squad depth and European exposure generally translate into composure in tighter fixtures. That said, 40% confidence honestly reflects the volatility of cross-table Swiss league encounters, where motivation gaps and travel fatigue can shift momentum unpredictably. Vaduz are perfectly capable of grinding out a result on home turf, so stake accordingly.
#12
Excelsior Rotterdam vs FC Groningen
Excelsior Rotterdam face FC Groningen in what is likely to be a tightly contested Eredivisie fixture between two sides operating in the lower half of the table. Backing the home side at this confidence level reflects the modest but genuine advantage clubs tend to carry at their own ground in Dutch football, where crowd intensity and familiarity with tight, synthetic-style pitches can influence outcomes. Excelsior will likely look to be compact and hit on the counter, which can frustrate visiting sides who struggle to break down organised defences. Groningen, however, are no pushover and will carry threats of their own going forward. At 37% confidence, this pick is a speculative lean rather than a strong conviction, and punters should size their stake accordingly.
#13
Aalesunds FK vs Sarpsborg 08
Sarpsborg 08 tend to be a composed, well-organised side on the road, capable of grinding out results against mid-table opposition when they defend compactly and hit on the counter. Aalesunds FK have historically struggled for consistency at home in the Eliteserien, which makes the case for backing an away win more plausible than the odds might suggest at first glance. The 38% confidence reflects a genuinely open contest rather than a strong lean, with both sides broadly evenly matched in quality across a league known for tight, low-scoring affairs where the favourite rarely dominates. Risk caveat: Norwegian top-flight matches are notoriously unpredictable in terms of momentum shifts, so a draw remains a very real and credible alternative outcome here.
#14
Liverpool FC vs Manchester City
Liverpool host Manchester City in what is routinely one of the Premier League's most evenly contested fixtures, making a home win far from straightforward to call. Anfield's atmosphere gives Liverpool a genuine structural advantage, and in a season where both sides have shown vulnerability away from home, backing the hosts carries a logical foundation. City's high defensive line can be exposed by direct, energetic pressing, which Liverpool tend to deploy with particular intensity on their own turf. The 37% confidence rating honestly reflects how fine the margins are between these two sides at this level, and any scoreline feels plausible. This selection carries significant variance, and staking heavily on it would be unwise given the unpredictability inherent in elite fixtures of this nature.
#15
FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland hosting FC Copenhagen is one of Danish football's most compelling fixtures, pitting two sides who routinely set the tempo for the entire Superliga season. Midtjylland's home record in this league tends to be formidable — their pressing intensity and physical midfield often makes the MCH Arena a genuinely hostile environment, even for Copenhagen's quality attackers. The home side typically carry a threat from set-pieces and transition play, which can unsettle visiting defensive structures. A Midtjylland victory is therefore a reasonable, if modest, proposition. That said, at just 38% confidence, this selection acknowledges genuine uncertainty, and Copenhagen's ability to control possession and absorb pressure away from home makes this a volatile pick where losing your stake remains a very real possibility.
#16
Cadiz CF vs Sporting Gijon
Cadiz CF enter this fixture as the more established side at this level, carrying the organisational discipline of a club accustomed to bouncing between the top two Spanish divisions. Playing at home, they are likely to be compact, difficult to break down, and capable of exploiting Sporting Gijón on the counter. Gijón, whilst dangerous in patches, have historically struggled for consistency on the road in LaLiga 2, making it hard to back them as travellers. A home win is the logical lean here, though the 37% confidence reflects how genuinely tight second-division football in Spain can be — margins are slim and quality is frequently well-matched between mid-table sides. Back this one with modest stakes only, as the draw remains a very live outcome throughout.
#17
Racing Santander vs Valencia CF
Racing Santander host Valencia CF in what shapes up as a genuinely unpredictable contest between two sides operating at very different levels of Spanish football's expectations. Racing, competing in a lower tier of the Spanish pyramid, carry the natural advantage of home support and compact defensive organisation, which can frustrate technically superior opponents on their own patch. Valencia, despite their pedigree, have experienced stretches of inconsistency that leave them vulnerable to being held or even beaten by motivated lower-division sides. The home pick reflects that territorial and psychological edge more than a straightforward quality argument. At 43% confidence, this selection sits firmly in speculative territory, and bettors should treat it as one component of a wider accumulator rather than a standalone conviction play.
The SportPesa Mega Jackpot is the highest-profile fixed-odds accumulator product in the Kenyan market, built around a large set of pre-selected football matches that players must predict correctly to unlock the top prize, with smaller bonus tiers for near-misses. Compared to shorter slips such as the Midweek Jackpot or competitor products from Betika, the Mega Jackpot attracts a specific type of player: mobile-first, comfortable with M-Pesa, and willing to treat the entry cost as a calculated weekly stake rather than a casual bet, given the scale of the correct-score requirement across all games on the card.
The predictions published on this page are derived by normalising the overround out of SportPesa's own published 1X2 odds for each match on the card, converting them into implied probabilities, and then weighting those probabilities against recent team form data to arrive at a recommended selection per fixture. Probability-based analysis narrows the field, but no combination of correct predictions is ever guaranteed across a multi-game accumulator of this length, and all participation is subject to BCLB licensing conditions. Responsible gambling applies throughout, and the legal minimum age for betting in Kenya is 18.
How the SportPesa Mega Jackpot works
The SportPesa Mega Jackpot is built around a 17-fixture slip. Players select a predicted outcome for each match, choosing between a home win, draw, or away win. To claim the headline jackpot pool, a single entry must get all 17 predictions correct. That requirement for a perfect card is what drives the prize to significant levels and keeps it competitive relative to other Kenyan jackpot products.
For entries that fall short of a full 17 correct, SportPesa operates a consolation tier structure. Getting 16 out of 17 correct earns a share of a smaller pool, and 15 correct drops to a further reduced tier prize. The ladder continues down to 13 correct predictions, each level drawing from a progressively smaller allocation of the total prize fund. No single correct-count tier pays at the same rate as the one above it.
When no entry achieves all 17 correct in a given round, the headline pool rolls over and accumulates into the following week's prize fund. This carry-over mechanic is how the jackpot can grow across multiple consecutive rounds without a winner. Rollovers are common given the statistical difficulty of a perfect 17-match card. Betting is open to registered users aged 18 and above. Gamble responsibly.
Previous weeks
Week of 03.10.2026
| # |
Date |
Match |
League |
Pick |
Odds |
Win probability |
Result |
| 1 |
03.10 17:00 |
Queen of the South FC vs Cove Rangers FC |
League 1 (Scotland) |
1 |
2.69 |
37%
|
– |
| 2 |
03.10 17:00 |
Elgin City FC vs Clyde FC |
League 2 (Scotland) |
1 |
2.69 |
37%
|
– |
| 3 |
03.10 17:00 |
Reading FC vs Bradford City FC |
League One (England) |
1 |
2.55 |
39%
|
– |
| 4 |
03.10 17:00 |
Crewe Alexandra vs Bristol Rovers |
League Two (England) |
2 |
2.46 |
41%
|
– |
| 5 |
03.10 17:00 |
Exeter City vs Rotherham United |
League Two (England) |
1 |
2.74 |
36%
|
– |
| 6 |
03.10 17:00 |
Rochdale AFC vs Swindon Town |
League Two (England) |
1 |
2.63 |
38%
|
– |
| 7 |
03.10 19:15 |
IFK Lidingo FK vs Bollstanas SK |
Division 2 (Sweden) |
2 |
2.54 |
39%
|
– |
| 8 |
03.10 19:30 |
Cadiz CF vs CD Leganes |
LaLiga 2 (Spain) |
2 |
2.67 |
38%
|
– |
| 9 |
03.10 21:30 |
Pro Vercelli 1892 vs AC Carpi |
Serie C, Group A (Italy) |
1 |
2.71 |
37%
|
– |
| 10 |
03.10 21:45 |
FC Fleury 91 vs SM Caen |
Ligue 3 (France) |
1 |
2.64 |
38%
|
– |
| 11 |
03.10 23:00 |
CA San Miguel vs Mitre Santiago del Estero |
Primera Nacional (Argentina) |
1 |
2.70 |
37%
|
– |
| 12 |
03.10 23:00 |
Newell's Old Boys vs CA Lanus |
Primera LPF (Argentina) |
2 |
2.82 |
35%
|
– |
| 13 |
04.10 03:00 |
FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic FC |
USL Championship (United States of America) |
2 |
2.61 |
38%
|
– |
| 14 |
04.10 13:00 |
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs RB Omiya Ardija |
J2 League (Japan) |
2 |
2.60 |
38%
|
– |
| 15 |
04.10 14:30 |
FK Veles Moscow vs FC Volga Ulyanovsk |
1. Liga (Russian Federation) |
1 |
2.61 |
38%
|
– |
| 16 |
04.10 15:00 |
Real Sociedad San Sebastian B vs Granada CF |
LaLiga 2 (Spain) |
1 |
2.71 |
37%
|
– |
| 17 |
04.10 15:30 |
VVV Venlo vs Roda JC Kerkrade |
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) |
1 |
2.55 |
39%
|
– |
Win probability is our model's estimate the selected outcome wins. Baseline for 1X2 is 33% — anything above 55% is a strong pick.
Week of 26.09.2026
| # |
Date |
Match |
League |
Pick |
Odds |
Win probability |
Result |
| 1 |
26.09 17:00 |
Tranmere Rovers FC vs Walsall FC |
League Two (England) |
1 |
2.69 |
37%
|
– |
| 2 |
26.09 17:00 |
Shrewsbury Town vs Colchester United |
League Two (England) |
1 |
2.76 |
36%
|
– |
| 3 |
26.09 17:00 |
Aldershot Town FC vs Tamworth FC |
National League (England) |
1 |
2.63 |
38%
|
– |
| 4 |
26.09 19:30 |
Oldham Athletic vs Salford City |
League Two (England) |
1 |
2.67 |
37%
|
– |
| 5 |
26.09 21:00 |
Roda JC Kerkrade vs RKC Waalwijk |
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) |
2 |
2.70 |
37%
|
– |
| 6 |
26.09 21:45 |
England vs Spain |
UEFA Nations League (International) |
2 |
2.63 |
38%
|
– |
| 7 |
26.09 21:45 |
US Orleans vs AS Cannes |
Ligue 3 (France) |
2 |
2.67 |
37%
|
– |
| 8 |
26.09 21:45 |
Paris 13 Atletico vs SC Bastia |
Ligue 3 (France) |
2 |
2.61 |
38%
|
– |
| 9 |
26.09 21:45 |
Thionville US Lusitanos vs La Roche Vendee Football |
Ligue 3 (France) |
2 |
2.66 |
38%
|
– |
| 10 |
27.09 04:00 |
Mexico vs Colombia |
Int. Friendly Games (International) |
2 |
2.55 |
39%
|
– |
| 11 |
27.09 03:30 |
FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC |
MLS (United States of America) |
1 |
2.60 |
39%
|
– |
| 12 |
27.09 03:30 |
Austin FC vs San Diego FC |
MLS (United States of America) |
1 |
2.48 |
40%
|
– |
| 13 |
27.09 15:00 |
Real Valladolid vs Cordoba CF |
LaLiga 2 (Spain) |
1 |
2.38 |
42%
|
– |
| 14 |
27.09 16:00 |
Lithuania vs Azerbaijan |
UEFA Nations League (International) |
1 |
2.61 |
38%
|
– |
| 15 |
27.09 19:00 |
Gibraltar vs Andorra |
UEFA Nations League (International) |
2 |
2.57 |
39%
|
– |
| 16 |
27.09 21:45 |
Israel vs Ireland |
UEFA Nations League (International) |
2 |
2.62 |
38%
|
– |
| 17 |
27.09 21:45 |
Norway vs Portugal |
UEFA Nations League (International) |
2 |
2.50 |
40%
|
– |
Win probability is our model's estimate the selected outcome wins. Baseline for 1X2 is 33% — anything above 55% is a strong pick.
Week of 19.09.2026
| # |
Date |
Match |
League |
Pick |
Odds |
Win probability |
Result |
| 1 |
19.09 19:00 |
AS Roma vs Inter Milano |
Serie A (Italy) |
2 |
2.71 |
37%
|
– |
| 2 |
19.09 19:30 |
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund |
Bundesliga (Germany) |
1 |
2.44 |
41%
|
– |
| 3 |
19.09 21:45 |
Angers SCO vs ESTAC Troyes |
Ligue 1 (France) |
1 |
2.37 |
42%
|
– |
| 4 |
19.09 21:45 |
Le Mans FC vs FC Lorient |
Ligue 1 (France) |
2 |
2.58 |
39%
|
– |
| 5 |
20.09 16:00 |
AJ Auxerre vs Stade Brest 29 |
Ligue 1 (France) |
2 |
2.64 |
38%
|
– |
| 6 |
20.09 16:00 |
Parma Calcio vs Genoa CFC |
Serie A (Italy) |
2 |
2.66 |
38%
|
– |
| 7 |
20.09 16:00 |
SS Arezzo vs FC Sudtirol Bolzano |
Serie B (Italy) |
1 |
2.45 |
41%
|
– |
| 8 |
20.09 17:00 |
Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor |
Super Lig (Turkey) |
1 |
2.78 |
36%
|
– |
| 9 |
20.09 17:30 |
FC Basel 1893 vs FC St. Gallen 1879 |
Super League (Switzerland) |
1 |
2.47 |
40%
|
– |
| 10 |
20.09 17:30 |
Mjallby AIF vs GAIS |
Allsvenskan (Sweden) |
2 |
2.42 |
41%
|
– |
| 11 |
20.09 18:15 |
Mantova 1911 vs Pisa SC |
Serie B (Italy) |
1 |
2.64 |
38%
|
– |
| 12 |
20.09 18:30 |
Schalke 04 vs SV 07 Elversberg |
Bundesliga (Germany) |
1 |
2.19 |
46%
|
– |
| 13 |
20.09 19:00 |
Viborg FF vs FC Nordsjaelland |
Superliga (Denmark) |
2 |
2.52 |
40%
|
– |
| 14 |
20.09 19:30 |
RC Deportivo de A Coruna vs Real Betis Seville |
LaLiga (Spain) |
2 |
2.61 |
38%
|
– |
| 15 |
20.09 20:00 |
Goztepe Izmir vs Caykur Rizespor |
Super Lig (Turkey) |
1 |
2.55 |
39%
|
– |
| 16 |
20.09 22:00 |
Valencia CF vs Real Sociedad San Sebastian |
LaLiga (Spain) |
2 |
2.65 |
38%
|
– |
| 17 |
20.09 22:30 |
FC Porto vs SL Benfica |
Liga Portugal (Portugal) |
2 |
2.65 |
38%
|
– |
Win probability is our model's estimate the selected outcome wins. Baseline for 1X2 is 33% — anything above 55% is a strong pick.
Week of 12.09.2026
| # |
Date |
Match |
League |
Pick |
Odds |
Win probability |
Result |
| 1 |
12.09 19:00 |
Lazio Rome vs AC Milan |
Serie A (Italy) |
2 |
2.45 |
41%
|
– |
| 2 |
12.09 21:45 |
Paris FC vs Olympique Lyon |
Ligue 1 (France) |
2 |
2.65 |
38%
|
– |
| 3 |
12.09 21:45 |
FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC |
Ligue 1 (France) |
1 |
2.75 |
36%
|
– |
| 4 |
12.09 21:45 |
AJ Auxerre vs OGC Nice |
Ligue 1 (France) |
1 |
2.69 |
37%
|
– |
| 5 |
13.09 16:00 |
US Lecce vs AC Monza |
Serie A (Italy) |
1 |
2.60 |
38%
|
– |
| 6 |
13.09 16:00 |
US Avellino vs Palermo FC |
Serie B (Italy) |
2 |
2.55 |
39%
|
– |
| 7 |
13.09 17:00 |
Randers FC vs Odense Boldklub |
Superliga (Denmark) |
1 |
2.55 |
39%
|
– |
| 8 |
13.09 17:00 |
Genclerbirligi SK vs Kasimpasa Istanbul |
Super Lig (Turkey) |
1 |
2.44 |
41%
|
– |
| 9 |
13.09 17:15 |
Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo |
LaLiga 2 (Spain) |
1 |
2.60 |
38%
|
– |
| 10 |
13.09 18:00 |
KFUM Oslo vs Aalesunds FK |
Eliteserien (Norway) |
1 |
2.45 |
41%
|
– |
| 11 |
13.09 18:30 |
Manchester United vs Manchester City |
Premier League (England) |
2 |
2.30 |
43%
|
– |
| 12 |
13.09 19:30 |
SV Zulte Waregem vs Royal Charleroi SC |
Pro League (Belgium) |
2 |
2.70 |
37%
|
– |
| 13 |
13.09 19:30 |
Getafe CF vs RC Deportivo de La Coruna |
LaLiga (Spain) |
1 |
2.42 |
41%
|
– |
| 14 |
13.09 20:00 |
FC Arouca vs Santa Clara Azores |
Liga Portugal (Portugal) |
2 |
2.81 |
36%
|
– |
| 15 |
13.09 20:15 |
RAAL La Louviere vs KV Kortrijk |
Pro League (Belgium) |
1 |
2.55 |
39%
|
– |
| 16 |
13.09 22:00 |
Real Sociedad San Sebastian vs Atletico Madrid |
LaLiga (Spain) |
2 |
2.47 |
41%
|
– |
| 17 |
13.09 22:00 |
Tenerife CD vs CD Leganes |
LaLiga 2 (Spain) |
1 |
2.38 |
42%
|
– |
Win probability is our model's estimate the selected outcome wins. Baseline for 1X2 is 33% — anything above 55% is a strong pick.
Week of 05.09.2026
| # |
Date |
Match |
League |
Pick |
Odds |
Win probability |
Result |
| 1 |
05.09 19:30 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander |
LaLiga (Spain) |
1 |
2.40 |
42%
|
– |
| 2 |
05.09 21:00 |
Ajax Amsterdam vs PSV Eindhoven |
Eredivisie (Netherlands) |
2 |
2.53 |
40%
|
– |
| 3 |
05.09 21:45 |
Le Havre AC vs Stade Brest 29 |
Ligue 1 (France) |
1 |
2.75 |
36%
|
– |
| 4 |
05.09 22:00 |
Swansea City vs Wrexham AFC |
Championship (England) |
1 |
2.69 |
37%
|
– |
| 5 |
06.09 16:00 |
Everton FC vs Manchester United |
Premier League (England) |
2 |
2.39 |
42%
|
– |
| 6 |
06.09 16:00 |
Parma Calcio vs AC Monza |
Serie A (Italy) |
1 |
2.57 |
39%
|
– |
| 7 |
06.09 16:00 |
ESTAC Troyes vs Strasbourg Alsace |
Ligue 1 (France) |
2 |
2.38 |
42%
|
– |
| 8 |
06.09 16:00 |
Frosinone Calcio vs Venezia FC |
Serie A (Italy) |
2 |
2.69 |
37%
|
– |
| 9 |
06.09 16:00 |
Cesena FC vs Mantova 1911 |
Serie B (Italy) |
1 |
2.63 |
38%
|
– |
| 10 |
06.09 16:00 |
FK Jablonec vs FC Slovan Liberec |
1. Liga (Czechia) |
1 |
2.63 |
38%
|
– |
| 11 |
06.09 16:00 |
FC Zlin vs FK Teplice |
1. Liga (Czechia) |
2 |
2.66 |
38%
|
– |
| 12 |
06.09 16:30 |
Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz |
Bundesliga (Germany) |
2 |
2.52 |
40%
|
– |
| 13 |
06.09 17:00 |
St. Johnstone FC vs Hibernian FC |
Premiership (Scotland) |
2 |
2.60 |
38%
|
– |
| 14 |
06.09 19:30 |
Deportivo Alaves vs CA Osasuna |
LaLiga (Spain) |
1 |
2.40 |
42%
|
– |
| 15 |
06.09 19:30 |
RSC Anderlecht vs KRC Genk |
Pro League (Belgium) |
1 |
2.55 |
39%
|
– |
| 16 |
06.09 19:30 |
Malaga CF vs Levante UD |
LaLiga (Spain) |
1 |
2.65 |
38%
|
– |
| 17 |
06.09 22:00 |
Espanyol Barcelona vs Sevilla FC |
LaLiga (Spain) |
1 |
2.50 |
40%
|
– |
Win probability is our model's estimate the selected outcome wins. Baseline for 1X2 is 33% — anything above 55% is a strong pick.
Week of 29.08.2026
| # |
Date |
Match |
League |
Pick |
Odds |
Win probability |
Result |
| 1 |
29.08 19:30 |
Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United |
Premier League (England) |
1 |
2.35 |
43%
|
– |
| 2 |
29.08 19:30 |
AC Monza vs Udinese Calcio |
Serie A (Italy) |
2 |
2.37 |
42%
|
– |
| 3 |
29.08 19:30 |
Sassuolo Calcio vs Torino FC |
Serie A (Italy) |
1 |
2.37 |
42%
|
– |
| 4 |
29.08 21:45 |
Stade Brest 29 vs Toulouse FC |
Ligue 1 (France) |
2 |
2.76 |
36%
|
– |
| 5 |
30.08 16:00 |
Sunderland AFC vs Fulham FC |
Premier League (England) |
1 |
2.70 |
37%
|
– |
| 6 |
30.08 16:00 |
Leeds United vs Brentford FC |
Premier League (England) |
1 |
2.69 |
37%
|
– |
| 7 |
30.08 17:00 |
St Mirren FC vs Motherwell FC |
Premiership (Scotland) |
2 |
2.81 |
36%
|
– |
| 8 |
30.08 17:00 |
Royal Antwerp FC vs St. Truidense VV |
Pro League (Belgium) |
1 |
2.75 |
36%
|
– |
| 9 |
30.08 17:30 |
Nacional da Madeira vs Estrela Amadora |
Liga Portugal (Portugal) |
1 |
2.52 |
40%
|
– |
| 10 |
30.08 17:45 |
VVV Venlo vs FC Emmen |
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) |
1 |
2.62 |
38%
|
– |
| 11 |
30.08 18:00 |
Derry City FC vs Shamrock Rovers |
Premier Division (Ireland) |
2 |
2.73 |
37%
|
– |
| 12 |
30.08 19:00 |
FC Nordsjaelland vs Broendby IF |
Superliga (Denmark) |
1 |
2.41 |
41%
|
– |
| 13 |
30.08 19:30 |
SSC Napoli vs Como 1907 |
Serie A (Italy) |
1 |
2.59 |
39%
|
– |
| 14 |
30.08 20:30 |
RC Deportivo de La Coruna vs Valencia CF |
LaLiga (Spain) |
1 |
2.71 |
37%
|
– |
| 15 |
30.08 21:00 |
Sparta Prague vs Slavia Prague |
1. Liga (Czechia) |
1 |
2.76 |
36%
|
– |
| 16 |
30.08 21:45 |
AS Monaco vs Olympique Marseille |
Ligue 1 (France) |
2 |
2.65 |
38%
|
– |
| 17 |
30.08 22:30 |
RC Celta de Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao |
LaLiga (Spain) |
1 |
2.55 |
39%
|
– |
Win probability is our model's estimate the selected outcome wins. Baseline for 1X2 is 33% — anything above 55% is a strong pick.
Week of 22.08.2026
| # |
Date |
Match |
League |
Pick |
Odds |
Win probability |
Result |
| 1 |
22.08 19:30 |
Brentford FC vs Tottenham Hotspur |
Premier League (England) |
1 |
2.58 |
39%
|
– |
| 2 |
22.08 19:45 |
Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Utrecht |
Eredivisie (Netherlands) |
2 |
2.73 |
37%
|
– |
| 3 |
22.08 21:45 |
Parma Calcio vs Cagliari Calcio |
Serie A (Italy) |
1 |
2.66 |
38%
|
– |
| 4 |
22.08 21:45 |
Toulouse FC vs Olympique Lyon |
Ligue 1 (France) |
2 |
2.39 |
42%
|
– |
| 5 |
23.08 16:00 |
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa |
Premier League (England) |
1 |
2.41 |
42%
|
– |
| 6 |
23.08 16:00 |
ACS Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs FC Farul Constanta |
Superliga (Romania) |
1 |
2.69 |
37%
|
– |
| 7 |
23.08 17:00 |
Bandirmaspor vs Ankara Keciorengucu |
1. Lig (Turkey) |
1 |
2.76 |
36%
|
– |
| 8 |
23.08 17:00 |
AC Horsens vs Lyngby BK |
Superliga (Denmark) |
2 |
2.62 |
38%
|
– |
| 9 |
23.08 17:00 |
Lommel SK vs KVC Westerlo |
Pro League (Belgium) |
1 |
2.64 |
38%
|
– |
| 10 |
23.08 18:00 |
FK Teplice vs FC Zbrojovka Brno |
1. Liga (Czechia) |
1 |
2.60 |
39%
|
– |
| 11 |
23.08 19:00 |
Eyupspor vs Gaziantep FK |
Super Lig (Turkey) |
2 |
2.63 |
38%
|
– |
| 12 |
23.08 19:30 |
Venezia FC vs US Lecce |
Serie A (Italy) |
1 |
2.42 |
41%
|
– |
| 13 |
23.08 20:00 |
FK Spartak Moscow vs FK Zenit Saint Petersburg |
Premier League (Russian Federation) |
2 |
2.61 |
38%
|
– |
| 14 |
23.08 20:00 |
Sporting Gijon vs Burgos CF |
LaLiga 2 (Spain) |
1 |
2.54 |
39%
|
– |
| 15 |
23.08 20:00 |
Santa Clara Azores vs FC Famalicao |
Liga Portugal (Portugal) |
1 |
2.70 |
37%
|
– |
| 16 |
23.08 21:30 |
FC CFR 1907 Cluj vs Fotbal Club FCSB |
Superliga (Romania) |
2 |
2.54 |
39%
|
– |
| 17 |
23.08 22:00 |
Cesena FC vs Sampdoria Genoa |
Serie B (Italy) |
1 |
2.63 |
38%
|
– |
Win probability is our model's estimate the selected outcome wins. Baseline for 1X2 is 33% — anything above 55% is a strong pick.
Week of 16.08.2026
| # |
Date |
Match |
League |
Pick |
Odds |
Win probability |
Result |
| 1 |
16.08 17:00 |
Arsenal FC vs Manchester City |
Community Shield (England) |
1 |
2.70 |
37%
|
– |
| 2 |
16.08 17:00 |
RAAL La Louviere vs KAA Gent |
Pro League (Belgium) |
2 |
2.54 |
39%
|
– |
| 3 |
16.08 17:00 |
Mikkelin Palloilijat vs Ekenas Idrottsforening |
Ykkosliiga (Finland) |
2 |
2.56 |
39%
|
– |
| 4 |
16.08 17:00 |
FC Lahti vs Kuopion Palloseura |
Veikkausliiga (Finland) |
1 |
2.70 |
37%
|
– |
| 5 |
16.08 17:00 |
PFK Krylia Sovetov Samara vs FC Dynamo-Makhachkala |
Premier League (Russian Federation) |
1 |
2.68 |
37%
|
– |
| 6 |
16.08 17:30 |
Nacional da Madeira vs Estoril Praia |
Liga Portugal (Portugal) |
1 |
2.66 |
38%
|
– |
| 7 |
16.08 17:30 |
Jahn Regensburg vs 1. FC Saarbrucken |
3. Liga (Germany) |
2 |
2.55 |
39%
|
– |
| 8 |
16.08 18:00 |
Burnley FC vs West Ham United |
Championship (England) |
2 |
2.44 |
41%
|
– |
| 9 |
16.08 18:00 |
FK Atyrau vs FC Okzhetpes |
Premier League (Kazakhstan) |
1 |
2.81 |
36%
|
– |
| 10 |
16.08 18:00 |
Bohemians Prague 1905 vs FK Jablonec |
1. Liga (Czechia) |
1 |
2.64 |
38%
|
– |
| 11 |
16.08 18:00 |
Racing Santander vs Villarreal CF |
LaLiga (Spain) |
2 |
2.44 |
41%
|
– |
| 12 |
16.08 18:30 |
KS Cracovia Krakow vs RKS Rakow Czestochowa |
Ekstraklasa (Poland) |
2 |
2.72 |
37%
|
– |
| 13 |
16.08 19:30 |
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege |
Pro League (Belgium) |
1 |
2.74 |
36%
|
– |
| 14 |
16.08 20:00 |
Burgos CF vs Cordoba CF |
LaLiga 2 (Spain) |
1 |
2.41 |
41%
|
– |
| 15 |
16.08 21:00 |
IBV Vestmannaeyjar vs IA Akranes |
Besta deild (Iceland) |
1 |
2.59 |
39%
|
– |
| 16 |
16.08 21:30 |
Amed Sportif Faaliyetler vs Erzurumspor FK |
Super Lig (Turkey) |
1 |
2.43 |
41%
|
– |
| 17 |
16.08 22:00 |
FK Zemun vs FK Mladost Lucani |
Superliga (Serbia) |
1 |
2.84 |
35%
|
– |
Win probability is our model's estimate the selected outcome wins. Baseline for 1X2 is 33% — anything above 55% is a strong pick.
FAQ
Is the SportPesa Mega Jackpot legal in Kenya?
SportPesa operates under a licence issued by the Betting Control and Licensing Board (BCLB), the statutory body that regulates gambling in Kenya. The Mega Jackpot is a licensed product, so participation by adults aged 18 and over is lawful under Kenyan law.
How do I withdraw Mega Jackpot winnings in Kenya?
Winnings are processed through M-Pesa or Airtel Money directly to the mobile number linked to your SportPesa account. Large jackpot amounts may require additional verification steps before the transfer is approved, so keeping your account details current speeds up the process.
What happens if a Mega Jackpot fixture is postponed or voided?
SportPesa's rules typically treat a postponed or voided fixture as a void selection, and the operator substitutes a replacement match or adjusts the slip accordingly. The specific handling is governed by SportPesa's official terms, which are published on its site and apply to all active slips.
Is cash-out available on the SportPesa Mega Jackpot?
The Mega Jackpot is a fixed-pool product and does not offer a cash-out function. Once a slip is submitted, it runs to the conclusion of all fixtures. Partial or early settlement options available on regular match betting do not extend to jackpot entries.
What is the minimum stake for the Mega Jackpot?
The minimum entry cost is set by SportPesa and is displayed on the jackpot slip before submission. The operator reviews this periodically, so the figure shown at the point of entry is the authoritative one. No external source reliably reflects real-time changes to the stake requirement.
How accurate are predictions for the SportPesa Mega Jackpot?
No prediction source, including analytical ones, can guarantee correct outcomes across seventeen fixtures simultaneously. Statistical models and form analysis can narrow the probability range on individual matches, but variance across a full jackpot slip remains high. Predictions are a research input, not a certainty.
Do I need to complete KYC verification to play the Mega Jackpot?
BCLB regulations require licensed operators to verify customer identity, particularly before processing significant withdrawals. SportPesa typically requests a national ID or passport copy as part of account verification. Completing KYC before you win, rather than after, avoids delays when a payout is triggered.
Where can I find historical SportPesa Mega Jackpot winners?
SportPesa periodically publishes past jackpot results and winner announcements on its official website and social media channels. These records show winning combinations and bonus tier outcomes, which can inform how analysts assess prediction patterns over multiple jackpot cycles.