JackpotMegaBet

SportPesa Midweek Jackpot Predictions - 13 Games

Edited by the JackpotMegaBet team · Updated

Predictions

# Date Match League Pick Odds Win probability Result
1 03.11 22:45 Northampton vs Oldham England 1 2.49
40%
✗ 0-1
2 03.11 22:45 QPR vs Burnley England 1 2.14
47%
✗ 1-1
3 03.11 22:45 Preston vs Sheffield Utd England 2 2.26
44%
✓ 2-3
4 03.11 22:45 Watford vs Lincoln England 1 2.55
39%
✓ 1-0
5 03.11 22:45 Portsmouth vs Swansea England 1 2.79
36%
✓ 3-1
6 03.11 22:45 Blackburn vs Stoke City England 2 2.77
36%
✓ 1-2
7 03.11 23:00 Manchester Utd vs Roma International 1 2.47
40%
✓ 3-2
8 03.11 23:00 West Bromwich vs Southampton England 1 2.64
38%
✗ 1-1
9 04.11 20:00 SK Artis Brno vs Bohemians Czech Republic 2 2.60
38%
✓ 1-2
10 04.11 22:30 Kortrijk vs Mechelen Belgium 1 2.62
38%
✗ 1-3
11 04.11 22:45 Oxford Utd vs Reading England 2 2.60
38%
✗ 2-0
12 04.11 23:00 FC Porto vs Napoli International 1 2.37
42%
✓ 4-1
13 04.11 23:00 Lens vs Como International 2 2.44
41%
✓ 1-9

Win probability is our model's estimate the selected outcome wins. Baseline for 1X2 is 33% - anything above 55% is a strong pick.

This midweek slip leans heavily on the English Football League, with Championship and League One sides dominating proceedings - Preston hosting Sheffield United and QPR facing Burnley standing out as the most evenly contested matchups given how tightly the odds cluster around the draw. The card is rounded out by a compelling cross-continental trio: Manchester United against Roma, FC Porto hosting Napoli, and Lens taking on Como, all three carrying genuine tactical uncertainty and wide enough spreads to resist confident prediction.

Our selections derive from the bookmaker's own 1X2 odds with the overround normalised out, isolating the implied probability of each outcome as cleanly as possible. Please gamble responsibly - only stake what you can afford to lose, and treat this analysis as informed guidance rather than a guarantee.

Per-match analysis

#1 Northampton vs Oldham
Northampton host Oldham in what promises to be a tight lower-league contest where home advantage carries genuine weight. Playing at home in English football's lower divisions tends to provide a meaningful boost, with partisan crowds and familiar conditions helping sides grind out results. Northampton, as the home side, are expected to dictate the tempo and press with greater intensity, while Oldham will likely look to stay compact and nick something on the counter. The 1 pick reflects a marginal but reasonable lean toward the hosts exploiting their territorial advantage across ninety minutes. That said, at 40% confidence, this selection acknowledges how unpredictable lower-league football can be, and a draw or away result remains very much in play.
#2 QPR vs Burnley
QPR host Burnley in what promises to be a tightly contested Championship affair, with home advantage carrying genuine weight at Loftus Road. QPR's compact shape and willingness to press in transition can unsettle visiting sides who rely on structured build-up play, and Burnley, despite their quality, have historically found away days in this division demanding. The home side's ability to exploit wide areas and deliver into the box gives them a credible route to the win, which is why we're backing the hosts here. The confidence level of 47% is deliberately modest - this is not a banker, and an away point or worse remains firmly on the table.
#3 Preston vs Sheffield Utd
Preston and Sheffield United meet in what promises to be a tight Championship affair, with both sides capable of grinding out results through organisation rather than flair. Sheffield United's away form has shown enough resilience to suggest they can trouble a Preston side that, at home, can struggle to convert pressure into goals. The visitors' quality through the middle of the park often proves decisive in matches of this nature, and we lean towards Sheffield United taking the points. That said, home advantage at Deepdale carries genuine weight in this division, and the narrow confidence margin of 44% reflects just how evenly contested this one could be.
#4 Watford vs Lincoln
Watford enter this fixture as strong favourites on home soil, and in English football's second and third tiers alike, home advantage carries genuine weight - crowds are vocal, pitches are familiar, and lower-league sides often struggle to impose themselves away from their own ground. Lincoln are a capable Championship-level outfit when at their best, but travelling to Vicarage Road demands defensive discipline and clinical finishing on the counter, which is a difficult combination to sustain consistently. Watford's greater squad depth and technical quality should see them control possession and create enough chances to see the game out. That said, with confidence sitting at just 39%, this selection reflects how fine margins can be in this division, and an upset remains firmly within reach.
#5 Portsmouth vs Swansea
Portsmouth host Swansea in what shapes up as a tight Championship contest between two sides whose identities are built more on defensive organisation than free-flowing attack. Portsmouth, playing at Fratton Park, carry genuine home advantage in a division where the crowd and compact structure can unsettle visiting teams who prefer to control possession - which Swansea typically do. That stylistic tension makes the home win viable; sides pressing high in front of their own fans can frustrate possession-oriented opponents into low-output performances. The 36% confidence reflects genuine uncertainty rather than pessimism, acknowledging Swansea's quality on the road. At this confidence level, treat this selection as a calculated risk within your accumulator rather than a banker.
#6 Blackburn vs Stoke City
Blackburn and Stoke City are two sides who tend to grind results out rather than produce free-flowing football, making this a tricky fixture to call with any real conviction. Stoke have shown enough away resilience in the Championship this season to suggest they can frustrate a Blackburn side that can be inconsistent at home, particularly when opponents sit deep and look to hit on the counter. The away pick carries some logic given Stoke's organisational solidity and their ability to make themselves difficult to break down. At 36% confidence, though, this selection sits firmly in speculative territory, and punters should treat it as a long-odds component of a wider accumulator rather than a standalone wager.
#7 Manchester Utd vs Roma
Manchester United hosting Roma in an international fixture presents an intriguing tactical contest between two sides capable of punishing defensive lapses. United, playing on home soil at Old Trafford, carry a psychological advantage that can prove decisive in evenly matched European encounters, and their pressing structure in the final third tends to create enough half-chances to trouble most visiting defences. Roma are a disciplined, tactically organised outfit under their current setup, capable of frustrating opponents through deep defensive blocks, which does make backing the home side feel like a reasonable rather than comfortable position. The 40% confidence rating honestly reflects how closely contested this tie could be. As always with knockout-style international matches, a single moment of quality from either side can completely overturn pre-match expectations.
#8 West Bromwich vs Southampton
West Bromwich enter this fixture carrying the weight of home expectation, and at The Hawthorns that atmospheric pressure can genuinely shift momentum in their favour. Southampton, historically vulnerable on the road in the second tier, tend to struggle when pressed high and denied time on the ball. A West Brom side organised in a compact mid-block will fancy their chances of exploiting any defensive lapses from a Saints backline that can look shaky under sustained aerial threat. The 1 pick reflects a modest home advantage rather than any commanding dominance - this is a closely matched contest on paper. At just 38% confidence, punters should treat this selection as a speculative inclusion rather than a banker.
#9 SK Artis Brno vs Bohemians
Bohemians arrive as the away side here, but in Czech lower-league football the home advantage can be a double-edged sword when the hosts are inconsistent. SK Artis Brno have shown vulnerability in defensive transitions, which suits a Bohemians side that tends to carry a threat on the break. The pick of an away win at 38% confidence reflects genuine uncertainty - this is a competitive fixture where margins are tight and either side could feasibly take the points. Bohemians' general solidity and capacity to grind out results on the road makes backing them defensible, even if the probability falls short of convincing territory. That said, at sub-40% confidence, staking on this selection carries meaningful risk and it should be treated as a speculative inclusion within any wider accumulator.
#10 Kortrijk vs Mechelen
Kortrijk host Mechelen in what promises to be a tightly contested Belgian First Division affair. Playing at home gives Kortrijk a meaningful advantage in a league where home sides tend to be difficult to break down, particularly for mid-table visiting sides. Kortrijk's attacking play on their own patch can cause problems for a Mechelen side that doesn't always travel with great defensive solidity. The pick for a home win reflects that home advantage factor rather than a dominant display of form, making it a speculative but reasoned selection within a competitive division where margins are consistently slim. With both sides capable of frustrating results at any moment, treat this pick as a calculated risk within a broader accumulator rather than a standalone banker.
#11 Oxford Utd vs Reading
Oxford United host Reading in what shapes up as a tightly contested Championship-level clash between two sides whose fortunes can shift dramatically across a short run of fixtures. Backing the away side here reflects the logic that Reading, when organised and disciplined on the road, can frustrate home sides who rely heavily on momentum and crowd support. Oxford, building their identity under sustained pressure this season, can be vulnerable to compact visiting units that absorb early intensity and exploit transitions. The 38% confidence rating honestly reflects how evenly matched these sides tend to be at this level, where a single moment of individual quality frequently overrides tactical planning. Form in English football's lower tiers is notoriously volatile, so treat this selection as a calculated risk rather than a certainty.
#12 FC Porto vs Napoli
FC Porto carry home advantage at the Estádio do Dragão, which historically counts for a great deal in European club football where travelling sides often set up conservatively. Porto's pressing structure tends to cause problems for Italian sides who prefer to build patiently from the back, and Napoli in knockout or group-stage away fixtures can occasionally be pragmatic rather than expansive. The hosts' ability to control tempo through midfield makes a home win a plausible outcome, even if the margin may be narrow. Napoli's quality in attack means Porto cannot be complacent for a single moment. At 42% confidence, this selection reflects genuine tactical logic rather than certainty - back it as part of a broader combination rather than as a standalone banker.
#13 Lens vs Como
Lens and Como represent contrasting footballing philosophies - Lens typically pressing with intensity and relying on collective structure, while Como tend to favour a more possession-oriented, technical approach. In international fixtures where club rhythms are disrupted and squad depth is tested, away sides carrying quality in transition can pose genuine problems for hosts who depend on crowd energy and pressing cohesion. The pick of a Como victory at odds reflecting their underdog status is defensible on the basis that their technical quality can exploit any defensive disorganisation Lens might show in a neutral or unfamiliar context. The 41% confidence rating honestly reflects meaningful uncertainty, and backing this selection as part of a jackpot accumulator carries substantial risk that a single unexpected result could collapse the entire ticket.

The SportPesa Midweek Jackpot sits at the more accessible end of Kenya's jackpot market, drawing a broad base of mobile-first players who want structured, weekly accumulator action without waiting for the weekend cycle. Compared to the larger Mega Jackpot, its shorter game list keeps the entry barrier manageable, which is part of why it attracts both casual weekend bettors rotating into midweek fixtures and dedicated jackpot specialists who treat each slip as a research exercise rather than a random pick. Its fixture selection frequently pulls from UEFA Champions League and Europa League midweek schedules, making it one of the few Kenyan jackpot products where continental club football dominates the card.

The predictions on this page are built from a consistent methodology: SportPesa's own published 1X2 odds are taken as the base probability signal, the overround is normalised to remove the margin, and each selection is cross-referenced against recent team form before a final outcome is flagged. That process improves analytical clarity but does not convert probability into certainty, and no prediction on this page should be treated as a guaranteed outcome. SportPesa operates under the Gambling Regulatory Authority (GRA) in Kenya. Participation is for adults aged 18 and over, and staking should stay within what a player can afford to lose.

How the SportPesa Midweek Jackpot works

The SportPesa Midweek Jackpot is built around a card of 13 football fixtures, typically drawn from midweek European competition. Players select a result for each match, choosing from home win, draw, or away win. A correct prediction on all 13 fixtures wins the headline jackpot pool outright. If more than one entry achieves a perfect card, the pool is divided equally among those winning tickets.

Partial-correct entries unlock a consolation-tier ladder rather than nothing. The structure rewards near-perfect cards, with a dedicated tier prize assigned to each qualifying correct count below the maximum. A card with 12 correct predictions draws from a smaller pool than 13, and a card with 11 correct sits on a lower tier still. The precise threshold at which consolation payouts begin is defined by SportPesa in the official jackpot rules, and the relative size of each tier reflects how rare that level of accuracy is across all entries submitted.

When no entry achieves a perfect card in a given round, the headline pool carries over and accumulates into the next scheduled Midweek Jackpot. This rollover mechanism means the headline prize can grow across consecutive rounds until a full correct entry is submitted, at which point the accumulated pool is paid out. GRA-regulated. 18+. Bet responsibly.

How to play the SportPesa Midweek Jackpot

  1. Register on SportPesa using your phone number, email address, or mobile-money number via the website or app.
  2. Deposit a minimum of KES 50 into your account through M-Pesa or Airtel Money.
  3. Navigate to the Midweek Jackpot section, listed under the jackpots tab on the SportPesa site or app.
  4. Select a outcome for each listed match and submit your slip before the deadline shown at the top of this page.
  5. Check results after the fixtures conclude and collect any winnings directly through M-Pesa or Airtel Money.

SportPesa operates under a licence issued by Kenya's Gambling Regulatory Authority (GRA). Participation is open to registered users aged 18 and above only.

Strategy notes for the SportPesa Midweek Jackpot

The Midweek Jackpot's consolation tiers reward partial accuracy, which shifts the calculus away from loading a slip with heavy long-shots. A selection set built around moderate-favourite outcomes, matches where one side carries a clear edge rather than genuine 50/50 uncertainty, tends to collect consolation-tier returns at a higher rate than a slip assembled for maximum potential payout. The headline jackpot demands a near-perfect card regardless, so the practical question is whether the picks between those extremes are doing useful work or simply adding variance without improving expected value at any tier.

Stake sizing follows from that framing. The Midweek Jackpot is a fixed-cost entry product, and the entry fee should sit comfortably within a weekly recreational allocation rather than represent a meaningful share of essential income. Chasing losses across consecutive weeks by increasing stake volume is the most reliable way to erode a bankroll with no corresponding improvement in selection quality. Treat the entry cost as the ceiling, not a floor to build from. Bet responsibly, 18+, and within the scope set by the GRA in Kenya.

Previous weeks

No past weeks yet - check back after the current slip settles.

FAQ

Is the SportPesa Midweek Jackpot legal in Kenya?
Yes. SportPesa operates under a licence issued by the Gambling Regulatory Authority, the body that oversees betting in Kenya. The Midweek Jackpot is a licensed product, so any Kenyan aged 18 or above can participate within the law.
How do withdrawals work after a Midweek Jackpot win?
Winnings are credited to the SportPesa account balance. From there, a withdrawal request sends funds directly to M-Pesa or Airtel Money, depending on which mobile money line is registered on the account. Processing times vary but most transfers settle within minutes.
What happens if a Midweek Jackpot fixture is postponed or voided?
SportPesa publishes its policy on postponed or abandoned matches in its terms and conditions. Typically, a voided fixture is settled on a neutral outcome so the rest of the slip remains active, but the exact treatment should be confirmed directly on the platform before staking.
Is cash-out available on the Midweek Jackpot?
Cash-out is generally not available on jackpot pool products. Unlike standard match betting, the Midweek Jackpot operates as a fixed-selection competition where the slip must run to completion before any settlement is possible.
What is the minimum stake for the Midweek Jackpot?
The operator publishes the current minimum on the bet slip page at the time of entry. Stake requirements can be updated by SportPesa, so the live slip remains the most reliable source rather than any third-party figure.
How accurate are predictions for the Midweek Jackpot?
No prediction source carries guaranteed accuracy across all 13 fixtures. Analytical tips built on form, head-to-head records, and statistical data improve informed decision-making, but variance in football outcomes means even well-researched selections carry real risk.
Is identity verification required to play the Midweek Jackpot?
Yes. GRA regulations require SportPesa to verify account holder identity before processing significant withdrawals. Submitting a national ID or passport and confirming personal details in the account profile avoids delays when a winning ticket needs to be paid out.
Can I find results from past SportPesa Midweek Jackpots?
SportPesa maintains a results and history section within the app and website where previous jackpot outcomes are logged. Reviewing historical winning combinations helps calibrate how often all 13 correct results align versus a split among bonus-tier winners.