Per-match analysis
#1
Fulham vs
Bournemouth
Fulham and Bournemouth tend to produce closely contested affairs when they meet, with both sides operating as well-organised mid-table outfits capable of nicking results on the road. Bournemouth have shown genuine attacking intent throughout recent Premier League campaigns, pressing high and utilising quick transitions that can unsettle a Fulham side who occasionally look vulnerable when pressed in their own half. Playing away from Craven Cottage removes some of the home comfort Fulham rely upon to control tempo, making a Bournemouth victory a plausible if uncertain outcome. The 38% confidence rating honestly reflects how evenly matched these two sides are. At such slim margins, a single set-piece or red card could comfortably overturn this prediction entirely.
#2
Sunderland vs
Man.Utd.
Sunderland host Manchester United in what looks a testing assignment for the home side against a visiting outfit that typically carries far greater attacking resources and squad depth. United's ability to control matches through midfield and exploit wide areas tends to create problems for sides defending on their own patch, and that quality edge makes the away win a plausible selection here. Sunderland will likely be organised and hard to break down early, but sustaining that shape across ninety minutes against superior individual quality is a demanding ask. The confidence rating of 49% reflects genuine uncertainty, and with home sides occasionally frustrating top-flight opposition, this pick carries meaningful risk that bettors should factor into their staking.
#3
Sevilla vs
Espanyol
Sevilla host Espanyol in what shapes up as a tightly contested La Liga fixture, with the home side carrying the inherent advantage of their own ground and typically possressing the greater squad depth at this level. Sevilla, when functioning cohesively, tend to control central midfield and press high, which can suffocate a visiting Espanyol side who often look more comfortable sitting deeper and hitting on the counter. The home environment and generally superior resources make a Sevilla win a reasonable selection, though the modest 44% confidence reflects genuine uncertainty — Espanyol are a disciplined defensive unit capable of frustrating more fancied opponents. This pick carries meaningful risk and should be treated as one speculative leg within a broader accumulator rather than a banker.
#4
Atl.Madrid vs
Celta
Atlético Madrid host Celta Vigo in a fixture where Diego Simeone's side carry the structural advantages of a compact defensive shape, disciplined pressing, and the considerable edge of playing at the Metropolitano. Atlético tend to grind results at home through organisation rather than flair, making them a reasonable selection even when confidence sits in the moderate range. Celta can be enterprising in possession and are capable of troubling top sides on their day, which is precisely why this pick demands respect rather than blind faith. The 46% confidence rating reflects genuine uncertainty in a league where away performances can defy expectation — back this pick as part of the accumulator rather than as a standalone banker.
#5
Valladolid vs
Zaragoza
Valladolid host Zaragoza in what promises to be a tightly contested Segunda División affair, with the home side carrying the marginal advantage that comes with familiar surroundings and the backing of their own supporters. At this level of Spanish football, home advantage remains a meaningful factor, and Valladolid's structured, disciplined approach should allow them to control the tempo against a Zaragoza side that can be vulnerable to organised pressing. The 44% confidence reflects the genuine competitiveness of this fixture — neither side is likely to dominate decisively, making the result genuinely difficult to call with any certainty. Both teams are capable of nullifying one another for long spells, which could invite a draw rather than a clear home victory. Back this pick only as part of a wider accumulator, as the slim margin of confidence makes it a fragile selection to rely upon in isolation.
#6
Nurnberg vs
Schalke
Schalke arrive at the Max-Morlock-Stadion carrying the burden of a side that has struggled to rediscover consistency since their top-flight decline, yet they retain enough individual quality to trouble a Nurnberg outfit that has shown vulnerability at home this season. The 2. Bundesliga's unpredictable nature means visiting sides can exploit a home team's nerves, particularly when both clubs are navigating mid-table pressures where results feel urgent. Schalke's attacking threat, when they commit forward with purpose, gives them a plausible route to all three points, and the away win is a reasonable selection for those willing to back a team with pedigree in this division. At just 38% confidence, however, this is firmly a speculative inclusion and should be treated as the highest-risk leg on your accumulator.
#7
Motherwell vs
Hearts
Motherwell take on Hearts in what promises to be a tightly contested play-off encounter, with both sides carrying genuine quality at this level. As the home side, Motherwell benefit from crowd support and the familiarity of their own pitch, which can prove decisive in high-pressure knockout football. The 1 pick reflects a modest home advantage rather than any clear dominance, and at 39% confidence this is very much a live contest that could tip either way. Hearts are a well-organised side capable of frustrating opponents defensively, making this a pick that demands respect for the opposition. Back Motherwell cautiously — the slim confidence margin here underlines that this selection carries real upset risk.
#8
Sociedad vs Betis
Sociedad and Betis are two of the more technically minded sides in the Primera Division, both favouring patient build-up and structured defensive shape, which tends to make matches between them tight and closely contested. A home win for Sociedad is defensible here — playing at home in this division carries genuine weight, and Sociedad generally enjoy the territorial and atmospheric advantages that come with familiar surroundings. Betis are a capable travelling side, however, and rarely come to the Basque Country without a plan. The 39% confidence rating reflects a genuinely open encounter where the margins will likely be fine. Bear in mind that at this level of certainty, any late tactical shift or unexpected momentum swing could easily overturn this selection.
#9
Celtic vs
Rangers
Celtic enter this fixture as marginal favourites on home soil, and their structural organisation at Celtic Park typically makes them difficult to break down, particularly in high-stakes knockout football. The Old Firm dynamic invariably compresses the game into midfield battles, where Celtic's depth and squad rotation options can prove decisive over the course of ninety minutes. Rangers, capable of absorbing pressure and hitting on the counter, ensure this will be far from straightforward. A home win is defensible rather than emphatic — Celtic's familiarity with the venue and the pressure of expectation often sharpens rather than hinders their performance. That said, with confidence sitting at just 45%, punters should treat this as a speculative selection rather than a reliable banker.
#10
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs
Elversberg
Elversberg have been one of the more tactically disciplined sides since earning promotion to the second tier, pressing with structure and looking dangerous on the counter, qualities that tend to travel well to venues like Düsseldorf. Fortuna carry attacking ambition but can be vulnerable to organised opposition who absorb pressure and hit quickly in transition. Away sides with clear tactical identity frequently outperform expectations in the 2. Bundesliga, where home advantage is less pronounced than the top flight. A visitor win at 44% confidence reflects genuine belief rather than a contrarian punt, though the odds likely offer slim value at this probability. As ever in a division this competitive, fine margins can easily swing the result either way.
#11
Gent vs
Anderlecht
Gent host Anderlecht in what promises to be a tightly contested Play-Off I fixture, with home advantage carrying genuine weight in Belgian football's compressed end-of-season format. Gent tend to be a difficult side to break down on their own patch, pressing with intensity and making the Ghelamco Arena a hostile environment for visiting sides. Anderlecht, for all their quality and resources, can be vulnerable when opponents press high and deny them time on the ball in midfield. A home win at 39% confidence reflects the inherent unpredictability of this rivalry rather than a clear edge, and the pick is defensible rather than compelling. Both sides possess enough individual quality to swing the outcome, so staking heavily would be unwise.
#12
Rosenborg vs
Lillestrom
Rosenborg carry the weight of expectation at Lien, but Lillestrom have shown themselves capable of disrupting home sides in Norway's top flight, particularly when given space to counter through the middle. The visitors can be well-organised and difficult to break down, and on days when Rosenborg struggle to find their rhythm, the points can travel. A draw or away win feels a realistic bracket here, and the case for backing Lillestrom outright rests on them posing a genuine attacking threat when the game opens up. The 41% confidence rating is honest — this is a live pick rather than a banker, and home advantage remains a meaningful factor that could easily swing the result.
#13
Nott.Forest vs
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest have shown enough defensive resilience at the City Ground this season to make backing them as hosts a legitimate, if cautious, selection. Playing on their own patch carries genuine weight in the Premier League, where crowd support and familiarity with conditions can level the gap between sides of comparable quality. Newcastle are a well-organised outfit capable of pressing high and exploiting transitions, which means Forest will need to be disciplined in their defensive shape and clinical on the counter when chances arise. The 37% confidence reflects a genuinely tight contest where either side could feasibly take all three points. This is a low-margin pick in what promises to be a closely contested, physical encounter, and backers should treat it accordingly as a high-risk selection within any accumulator.
#14
Leganes vs
Santander
Leganes host Racing Santander in what shapes up as a tight mid-table Segunda División encounter, where neither side tends to dominate possession convincingly against organised opposition. Backing the away side here reflects the unpredictability that defines this division — visiting teams regularly exploit hosts who struggle to maintain defensive shape across a full ninety minutes, and Santander carry enough attacking threat to punish any sloppiness. At 41% confidence, this is far from a banker, but the pick is defensible on the basis that Segunda fixtures at this level frequently reward the side willing to absorb pressure and strike on the counter. The slim confidence margin means single-match staking is strongly advised over including this in any accumulator.
#15
Oviedo vs
Getafe
Getafe travel to Oviedo as the higher-tier side, and their typically organised, low-block defensive structure tends to make them difficult to break down regardless of venue. Playing away from home suits a side that is comfortable absorbing pressure and hitting on the counter, which is a reasonable tactical fit against a home team likely to carry the ball forward with ambition. The Segunda División atmosphere will test Getafe's concentration, but their professional experience at this level gives them a credible edge. The 39% confidence reflects genuine uncertainty about Oviedo's home energy and Getafe's inconsistency when motivation is questioned. This pick carries real risk and should be staked accordingly within any jackpot combination.
#16
Mirandes vs
Eibar
Eibar arrive at Anduva as one of the more organised and attack-minded sides in the Segunda División, and their ability to control possession and press high up the pitch tends to trouble mid-table hosts who rely on defensive compactness. Mirandes have shown reasonable resilience at home, but away sides with genuine quality in transition can expose the spaces they leave. Picking the away win here feels defensible given Eibar's general standing in this division and their tendency to impose their style regardless of venue. The 40% confidence rating reflects real uncertainty, however, as home advantage in the Segunda is a meaningful factor and Mirandes are capable of making life very difficult.
#17
Milan vs
Atalanta
Milan host Atalanta in what promises to be a tightly contested Serie A encounter between two sides with genuinely contrasting philosophies. Milan's home advantage carries real weight at the San Siro, where the atmosphere and familiarity of the turf can unsettle even the most organised visiting sides. Atalanta, for their part, are an aggressive, high-tempo outfit capable of causing problems for any defence in Italy. A home win at 45% confidence reflects the competitive balance here — Milan possess quality in the final third but must manage Atalanta's relentless pressing and transitional threat effectively. The pick is defensible rather than comfortable.
This is a genuinely 50/50 affair in many analysts' eyes, so staking heavily on this selection would be ill-advised.
#18
Auxerre vs
Nice
Auxerre host Nice in what promises to be a tightly contested Ligue 1 fixture, with the home side carrying the advantage of their own supporters and the unpredictability that often characterises promoted or recently re-established top-flight clubs playing on familiar turf. Nice, historically a well-organised side under disciplined tactical setups, tend to be difficult to break down away from home, which somewhat tempers enthusiasm for a home win. Nevertheless, backing Auxerre here reflects the genuine volatility of mid-table Ligue 1 encounters, where home advantage can prove decisive in close, low-margin contests. At 38% confidence, this selection sits firmly in speculative territory, and bettors should treat it accordingly within a broader accumulator rather than as a standalone wager.
#19
Le Havre vs
Olympique Marseille
Le Havre host Olympique Marseille in what shapes up as a stern test for the promoted side against one of Ligue 1's traditionally stronger outfits. Marseille tend to carry genuine attacking threat and travelling to the Normandy coast, whilst never comfortable, should not derail a side with European ambitions and the quality to impose themselves on a defensively modest team. Le Havre have found life difficult against established top-half clubs this season, and Marseille's pressing game can expose teams who lack experience at this level. That said, 47% confidence reflects the reality that Ligue 1 away fixtures can be remarkably unpredictable, and a point or defeat for Marseille remains entirely plausible.
#20
Monaco vs
Lille
Monaco host Lille at the Stade Louis II in what shapes up as one of the trickier calls on the card. Monaco's attacking intent and home advantage give them a credible platform, and sides playing in front of their own supporters in Ligue 1 generally benefit from a meaningful boost in both momentum and referee familiarity. That said, Lille are a well-organised, tactically disciplined outfit who tend to frustrate hosts with their defensive structure and ability to absorb pressure before striking on the counter. The 40% confidence rating honestly reflects how fine the margins are here. Both sides are capable of controlling tempo in different phases, making the outcome genuinely difficult to call. Back Monaco cautiously — a draw or away win remains entirely plausible.
How the MozzartBet Weekly Jackpot works
The MozzartBet Weekly Jackpot is structured around a fixed card of seventeen pre-selected football fixtures. Players predict the outcome of each match, choosing a home win, draw, or away win for every game on the slip. The headline pool is reserved for anyone who calls all seventeen results correctly, a perfect card being the only route to the top prize.
For those who fall short of a clean sweep, MozzartBet operates a consolation-tier ladder beneath the headline pool. Correctly predicting fifteen or sixteen of the seventeen outcomes qualifies for a smaller pool, split among all tickets at that accuracy level. A further tier covers fourteen correct predictions, carrying its own tier prize. The payout at each level reflects both the number of qualifying tickets and the proportion of the overall pool allocated to that band, so returns vary week to week.
When no ticket matches all seventeen outcomes, the jackpot portion rolls over and is added to the following week's pool rather than being distributed at a lower tier. Repeated rollovers accumulate until a perfect card is submitted, which is when the full pooled amount is released. All participation is subject to BCLB licensing conditions. 18+ only, gamble responsibly.
Previous weeks
Week of 05.05.2026
| # |
Date |
Match |
League |
Pick |
Odds |
Win probability |
Result |
| 1 |
05.05 18:45 |
RKC Waalwijk vs Willem II |
Netherlands - Erste Divisie Play Off |
1 |
2.54 |
39%
|
- |
| 2 |
05.05 19:00 |
Falkenberg vs Norrkoping |
Sweden - Superettan |
1 |
2.65 |
38%
|
- |
| 3 |
05.05 19:00 |
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Botev Vratsa |
Bulgaria 1 - Play Out |
1 |
2.11 |
47%
|
- |
| 4 |
05.05 20:45 |
Dunfermline vs Arbroath |
Scotland First Division Play Off |
1 |
2.31 |
43%
|
- |
| 5 |
05.05 20:45 |
Clyde vs Spartans |
Scotland Second Division Play Out |
1 |
2.64 |
38%
|
- |
| 6 |
05.05 20:45 |
Alloa vs Airdrie |
Scotland Second Division Play Off |
1 |
2.71 |
37%
|
- |
| 7 |
05.05 20:45 |
Queen of S. vs Stenhousemuir |
Scotland Second Division Play Off |
1 |
2.70 |
37%
|
- |
| 8 |
06.05 00:00 |
Juventud L.P. vs Atletico Mineiro |
Copa Sudamericana |
2 |
2.27 |
44%
|
- |
| 9 |
06.05 00:00 |
Ind. Petrolero vs Caracas |
Copa Sudamericana |
1 |
2.26 |
44%
|
- |
| 10 |
06.05 00:00 |
Dep.Riestra vs Gremio |
Copa Sudamericana |
1 |
2.95 |
34%
|
- |
| 11 |
06.05 02:00 |
B.Guayaquil vs Boca Juniors |
Copa Libertadores |
2 |
2.21 |
45%
|
- |
| 12 |
06.05 02:30 |
Puerto Cabello vs Cienciano |
Copa Sudamericana |
1 |
2.06 |
49%
|
- |
| 13 |
06.05 04:00 |
Deportivo Cuenca vs San Lorenzo |
Copa Sudamericana |
1 |
2.73 |
37%
|
- |
| 14 |
06.05 06:00 |
Shimizu SP vs Cerezo Osaka |
Japan - J1 League |
1 |
2.62 |
38%
|
- |
| 15 |
06.05 06:00 |
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Okayama |
Japan - J1 League |
1 |
2.72 |
37%
|
- |
| 16 |
06.05 07:00 |
Fukuoka vs Kyoto Purple Sanga |
Japan - J1 League |
2 |
2.58 |
39%
|
- |
Win probability is our model's estimate the selected outcome wins. Baseline for 1X2 is 33% - anything above 55% is a strong pick.
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